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  Indian J Med Microbiol
 

Figure 2: Test of niche model predictions across the middle 50% of the latitudinal distribution of human cases (2000–2016) of Kyasanur forest disease. Model predictions shown as a color ramp from blue (low suitability) to red (high suitability); independent test data shown as yellow stars; blue dashed box = test region. The model was calibrated with case data from farther north (25%) and farther south (25%), such that predictions and test data are independent of one another. The prediction resulted highly statistically significant based on partial receiver operating characteristic analyses.

Figure 2: Test of niche model predictions across the middle 50% of the latitudinal distribution of human cases (2000–2016) of Kyasanur forest disease. Model predictions shown as a color ramp from blue (low suitability) to red (high suitability); independent test data shown as yellow stars; blue dashed box = test region. The model was calibrated with case data from farther north (25%) and farther south (25%), such that predictions and test data are independent of one another. The prediction resulted highly statistically significant based on partial receiver operating characteristic analyses.