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BRIEF RESEARCH ARTICLE
Year : 2020  |  Volume : 64  |  Issue : 5  |  Page : 76-78

Aging of HIV epidemic in India: Insights from HIV estimation modeling under the national aids control programme


1 Consultant, Strategic Information Management Division, National AIDS Control Organization, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi, India
2 Scientist F, Department of Epidemiology and Behavioral Sciences, ICMR-National Institute of Medical Statistics, New Delhi, India
3 Advisor, Strategic Information Division, The Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), New Delhi, India
4 Associate Consultant, Strategic Information Management Division, National AIDS Control Organization, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi, India
5 Assistant Director General, Strategic Information Management Division, National AIDS Control Organization, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India, India

Correspondence Address:
Dr. Pradeep Kumar
National AIDS Control Organization, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India, 36 Janpath Road, New Delhi - 110 001
India
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Source of Support: None, Conflict of Interest: None


DOI: 10.4103/ijph.IJPH_127_20

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People living with HIV are gradually getting older as a result of better survival with increased uptake of antiretroviral treatment in India. We aimed to quantify the aging HIV-infected population in India by undertaking a mathematical model analysis of 2017 rounds of HIV burden estimations under the National AIDS Control Programme. Our analysis projects that the mean age of HIV-infected people will increase from 38.4 years in 2005 to 45.5 years in 2025 with the proportion of HIV-infected people aged 50 years or older increasing from 19% in 2005 to 37% in 2025. This aging HIV epidemic is anticipated to lead to more non-AIDS morbidities, increased treatment complexity, and an inevitable need for multidisciplinary health-care services to ensure continued high-quality survival.


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